Trading Analyse n°114 : Opportunité sur le Bitcoin !

Market Analysis and Trading Strategies

Overview of Recent Market Trends

• The video discusses the previous week's performance in stock markets and cryptocurrencies, setting the stage for long-term investment and trading strategies.

• Focus shifts to the CAC 40 index, which has rebounded on the Ichimoku cloud levels previously discussed in earlier analyses.

Key Observations on CAC 40

• A significant bearish candle was noted on February 12, indicating a potential divergence that suggests caution for traders considering new positions.

• Traders are advised against buying at current highs; instead, they should wait for a pullback before entering new positions.

Potential Market Corrections

• The speaker highlights a bullish channel since October 2025 but warns that breaking key support levels could signal a correction or reversal of this upward trend.

• Emphasis is placed on maintaining an upward buying strategy as long as certain support levels hold.

DAX Index Analysis

Current DAX Configuration

• Transitioning to the DAX index, it is noted that it presents a different configuration with signs of overbought conditions followed by corrections.

• Resistance levels have been established around recent highs, leading to selling pressure whenever prices approach these points.

Trading Strategy Recommendations for DAX

• Similar advice applies: avoid deploying capital at current high levels and wait for price drops towards support areas before making purchases.

Dow Jones Performance Insights

Rally Observations

• The Dow Jones is experiencing a strong rally since May 2025, approaching significant resistance around the 50,000 mark.

• Notable selling occurred upon reaching this resistance level, resulting in substantial point declines during trading sessions.

Trading Dynamics

• Live trading experiences shared indicate successful trades were made during market fluctuations post-resistance contact.

NASDAQ Market Behavior

Current NASDAQ Status

• The NASDAQ remains within a range-bound phase following explosive growth; no clear direction is indicated at this time.

Market Analysis and Key Resistance Levels

Current Market Dynamics

• The market is facing resistance levels, causing price stagnation as traders engage in short-term strategies. Some investors are selling to secure profits amid potential corrections.

• A significant support/resistance level is identified at 25,000, which aligns with the SSB (Standard Support Band). This area represents a major resistance zone despite minor resistances within it.

• The NASDAQ has broken a trend line and may experience corrections. Traders should be cautious about entering positions at this time due to these developments.

Technical Indicators and Trends

• The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicates a bearish progression over recent months. Investors are advised to wait for better opportunities around the 24,000 mark based on technical elements.

• A bearish divergence is forming with the RSI maintaining its downward trajectory. This suggests caution when considering investments in the SP500.

SP500 Insights

• The SP500 shows signs of weakening but remains above neutral territory on the RSI. As long as key trend lines remain intact, there’s no immediate cause for alarm; however, traders should be vigilant.

• Resistance at 7,000 poses challenges; breaking above this level requires consolidation. Caution is advised as traders anticipate movements near this threshold.

Bitcoin Market Overview

• Bitcoin's price action reveals an extension of previous resistance levels from March and December 2021 now acting as support. This transition could signal interesting buying opportunities.

• Recent purchases have been made at significant support levels around 80,000. However, caution remains necessary until bullish trends are confirmed by breaking through existing trend lines.

Future Considerations

• While Bitcoin shows potential for upward movement towards 100,000—identified as a strong resistance—investors should consider selling strategies around key thresholds like 90,000 or 100,000.

• Overall market conditions appear stable despite minor divergences; however, confirmation signals are still awaited before making substantial investment decisions.

Conclusion and Recommendations

• Investors should exercise caution given current high market levels and potential corrective movements while remaining alert for emerging opportunities that align with technical confirmations.

Market Insights and Trading Strategies

Community Engagement in Trading

• The speaker, Alexandre, encourages community interaction by asking viewers to share their trading positions, particularly in swing trading. This fosters a collaborative environment among traders.

• Alexandre identifies himself as an independent trader, establishing credibility and a personal connection with the audience.

• He emphasizes the importance of sharing experiences within the trading community, suggesting that collective insights can enhance individual trading strategies.

• The video concludes with a friendly farewell from Alexandre, indicating he will return with more content soon.