ICT Charter Price Action Model 13 - Charter Lecture On 2022 YouTube Model
ICT Mentorship Model 13 Overview
Introduction to Model 13
- The session introduces ICT Mentorship Model 13, part of a free YouTube mentorship series focused on index futures.
- Emphasizes the importance of prior lessons from the YouTube channel for clarity in understanding this model.
Framework and Trading Logic
- The model targets intraday market structure with opposing PD array matrix objectives; bearish trades focus on discount arrays while bullish trades target premium arrays.
- Specific time frames are highlighted: Forex trading occurs between 7:00 a.m. to 10:00 a.m., and index futures from 8:30 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time.
Market Structure and Liquidity Raids
- Monitoring is done using five down to one-minute charts after liquidity raids and short-term shifts in market structure occur.
- For bearish setups, look for buy-side liquidity raids followed by rapid market structure shifts below recent lows; for bullish setups, the opposite applies.
Entry Strategies
- After identifying displacement following liquidity purges, entries are made at specific points within fair value gaps based on market direction (bearish or bullish).
- A sell limit order is placed at the high of the discount low of the fair value gap when bearish; ensuring fills by placing orders right at that high is emphasized.
Risk Management Techniques
- Stop losses should be set at strategic points—specifically at the highest point of the fair value gap for bearish trades—to minimize risk while maximizing potential gains.
Stop Loss and Risk Management Strategies
Understanding Stop Loss Placement
- The stop loss is strategically placed at the high of the discount low of the fair value gap used for the setup.
Risk Management Guidelines
- A maximum risk of 2% per trade is recommended, ideally reducing to 1% or even 0.5%, especially in frequent trading setups.
- Even with a hit rate below 70%, maintaining lower risk allows for profitability over time without needing perfection.
Adjusting Leverage After Losses
- If a trade results in a full 2% loss, subsequent trades should use half the leverage until recovering at least 50% of the previous loss.
- This approach creates a plateau effect in equity growth rather than experiencing volatile ups and downs.
Market Session Analysis
Afternoon Trading Strategy
- In bearish conditions, traders look for buy-side liquidity raids on morning session highs or lunch hour highs.
- If price drops after purging buy-side liquidity, it should create displacement lower with an ideal fair value gap.
Bullish Conditions and Liquidity Raids
- For bullish scenarios, focus on sell-side liquidity raids during lunch hours (12:00 - 1:00 PM NY local time).
- Relative equal lows or highs established before lunch are critical indicators to watch for potential trades.
Entry Points and Profit Taking Logic
Entry Orders Based on Market Conditions
- For bearish positions, place sell limit orders at the high of the discount low within the fair value gap identified on charts from five minutes down to one minute.
- Conversely, bullish positions require buy limit orders at the low of premium highs within similar chart parameters.
Profit Taking Strategies
- Profits should be taken at opposing PD arrays; bearish traders aim for discounts while bullish traders target premiums above equilibrium.
- Multiple targets can be set based on previous session lows or fair value gaps below equilibrium to facilitate partial profit-taking strategies.
Developing Personal Trading Skills
Trading Insights and Strategies
Personal Reflections on Trading Performance
- The speaker expresses dissatisfaction with their trading exits, indicating a continuous pursuit of improvement despite having 30 years of experience. They emphasize the importance of adhering to rules while seeking better methods for precision in targets.
Targeting Market Positions
- Discussion on finding shortcuts to achieve consistently precise targets that yield better results. The speaker acknowledges that such methods may not exist universally but encourages traders to aim for them.
Understanding Market Dynamics
- Explanation of targeting positions above previous session highs and within fair value gaps, emphasizing the need to identify extreme premium levels where significant market activity occurs.
- The strategy involves analyzing previous days' sessions to anticipate potential breakouts or movements in the current trading day, focusing on buy-side opportunities.
Timing and News Impact
- Importance of timing trades around key news releases (8:30 AM Eastern Time), which can significantly influence market behavior. The speaker highlights specific times when setups are likely to form.
- Emphasis on monitoring the market closely during critical time windows (9:30 AM and 10:00 AM), suggesting that traders should remain vigilant for setup formations throughout these periods.
Market Reversal Patterns
- Notable mention of Thursday and Friday as days conducive to market reversals, advising caution with setups at 11:00 AM unless conditions indicate a reversal opportunity.
- Discussion about using 11:00 AM setups strategically, particularly when aligned with broader market trends or reversals leading into TGIF conditions.
Final Hour Trading Strategies
- Overview of trading dynamics during the final hours (2:00 PM - 3:30 PM Eastern Time), highlighting increased volatility and potential for explosive price action in index futures.
- Insight into how proficient scalpers can capitalize on last-hour trading opportunities by employing high precision strategies tailored for rapid decision-making.
Patience in Trade Setup Formation
- Encouragement for traders to practice patience throughout the day, waiting for optimal setups rather than forcing trades at every time window presented.
Understanding One-Sidedness in Trading
Key Insights on Trading Setups
- The speaker emphasizes the importance of recognizing one-sidedness in trading, suggesting that it can lead to high probability setups.
- Utilizing elements of time effectively is recommended to enhance the selection process for trading setups.
- The discussion indicates that this approach may not fully satisfy those who lack prior knowledge or experience with the model being referenced.