3.A2. Basic Deal Calculator Video Walkthrough Pt. 2
Short-Term Rental Example Analysis
Overview of Short-Term and Long-Term Rentals
- The speaker discusses a rental strategy involving five studio lofts, with the intention to use four as short-term rentals and one as a long-term rental.
- A nightly rate of $150 is established for the short-term rentals, emphasizing the importance of occupancy rates in determining revenue.
Revenue Calculation Insights
- The speaker manipulates occupancy rates to illustrate their impact on monthly revenue; at 100% occupancy, potential revenue could reach $18,000.
- Management fees are set at 6%, highlighting that these are typically calculated as a percentage rather than a fixed amount.
Expense Breakdown
- Various expenses are outlined including advertising ($600/year), insurance (approximately $6,000/year), and repairs/maintenance estimated at $3,000/year.
- Janitorial services are projected at $1,200 annually based on bi-weekly visits costing about $50 each time.
Additional Costs Considerations
- Contracting fees for pest control and landscaping total around $3,400 per year; this includes quarterly pest control costs and monthly landscaping fees.
- Common area utilities such as water and trash are estimated at approximately $7,200 annually based on market knowledge regarding waste disposal costs.
Legal and Maintenance Fees
- Professional/legal fees for tax returns and other legal matters are budgeted at around $1,500 yearly.
- Short-term maintenance costs associated with running short-term rentals are discussed; initially set at 20% but adjustable based on management decisions.
Tenant Turnover Costs
Understanding Cash Flow and Debt Service in Real Estate
Calculating Net Operating Income (NOI)
- The speaker discusses a projected NOI of $22,000 per month, translating to approximately $260,000 annually. This figure does not account for debt service.
- The current calculations are impacted by an incomplete amortization schedule; the loan amount is automatically populated from a previous spreadsheet.
Loan Terms and Interest Rates
- Commercial loans typically have shorter terms; 20 years is standard, with 25 years possible for new constructions. Older buildings should be assumed at 20 years.
- An interest rate of 7% is set for calculations, which will affect cash flow projections significantly.
Cash Flow Analysis
- Free cash flow is calculated at around $8,000 monthly or $85,000 annually. The debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) must meet bank requirements—typically at least 1.25 times the NOI.
- In today's market conditions, DSCR often limits loan amounts more than loan-to-value ratios due to unfavorable interest rates.
Impact of Interest Rate Changes
- Adjusting the interest rate to prime minus half results in increased monthly payments from $14,000 to nearly $16,000, affecting net cash flow negatively.
- With income numbers now included in the analysis, stabilized cash on cash return shows a return of 7.6%, which may not be attractive enough for investors.
Investor Returns and Market Challenges
- Investors only receive 70% of project returns while retaining 30%. High-interest rates create challenges as banks demand higher equity contributions from borrowers.
- Aiming for an investor's cash on cash return between 7.5% and 10% is ideal; however, current conditions make achieving this difficult.
Strategies for Improving Property Performance
- To enhance performance amidst high costs and low returns, increasing short-term rentals could yield better financial outcomes compared to long-term rentals.
- Reducing personal capital investment can improve returns but increases mortgage obligations due to larger loans required by banks seeking lower risk profiles.
Risk Assessment Between Debt and Equity
- There’s a fundamental mismatch when banks charge higher rates than equity partners despite having collateral backing their loans; this creates tension in financing structures.
- Understanding these dynamics helps identify strategies that can improve property performance while navigating challenging financial landscapes effectively.
Understanding Short-Term Rental Management
Revenue and Cost Dynamics
- The speaker discusses the relationship between rising costs and revenue, emphasizing that while costs may increase, effective management can lead to even greater revenue growth.
- It is suggested that outsourcing property management can provide flexibility; if one chooses to manage properties themselves, they should still account for management fees in their budget.
- The importance of compensating oneself for property management work is highlighted. Managing properties without a salary can lead to burnout and decreased performance.
Cap Rate Analysis
- A detailed explanation of cap rates is provided, indicating how they affect property value. Four different cap rates are presented to illustrate varying impacts on valuation.
- The speaker calculates the building's value based on a 6.75% cap rate, demonstrating how net operating income (NOI) influences property valuation through simple division.
Financial Scenarios