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2025 Lecture Series - NQ Review & Extraordinary Volatility \ 04/09/2025
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2025 Lecture Series - NQ Review & Extraordinary Volatility \ 04/09/2025

NASDAQ Review for April 9th, 2025

Overview of Market Movement

  • The speaker welcomes viewers and introduces a review of the NASDAQ market performance on April 9th, 2025, highlighting a significant rally observed in the afternoon.
  • Discussion on trading down to a "depth of discount" before rebounding into two consecutive bullish candles, which are identified as a bearish order block.

Analysis of Inefficiencies

  • Introduction of the June delivery contract for NASDAQ futures and identification of an inefficiency characterized by gaps and liquidity highs.
  • Explanation of how price action moved through these inefficiencies, emphasizing the absence of buying or selling within specific time frames creating a liquidity void.

Intraday Trading Insights

  • Observations on relative equal highs and intraday movements within defined ranges while respecting quadrant levels leading to an upward rally.
  • Examination of volume imbalances noted on a two-minute chart that indicate potential trading opportunities.

Trade Execution Details

  • Description of trade execution based on identified inefficiencies; the speaker shares insights about their entry point without providing video footage.
  • Mentioning challenges with annotating charts accurately due to technical difficulties but emphasizes understanding key concepts behind volume balance.

Final Thoughts on Market Behavior

  • The speaker reflects on their entry strategy during market fluctuations, noting high-risk dollar amounts versus small percentage risks relative to their account size.

Trading Insights and Market Dynamics

Trade Execution and Market Behavior

  • The speaker discusses executing orders for three out of four contracts, highlighting a drawdown before exiting at a high price. This illustrates the importance of timing in trading.
  • A "mohawk" pattern is mentioned as an example of adhering to trading rules, emphasizing discipline in following strategies even when market conditions fluctuate.
  • The transition into the afternoon session shows how trades were managed, with a focus on fair value gaps that influenced decision-making during this period.

Market Reactions and External Influences

  • A significant market reaction occurred after news about tariffs being halted, leading to rapid price movements that caught many traders off guard.
  • The speaker notes the volatility caused by external factors, stressing the unpredictability of market responses to geopolitical events.

Risk Management and Trading Psychology

  • The speaker refrains from providing real-time commentary due to concerns about new traders not understanding risk management principles, indicating a responsible approach to teaching.
  • Emphasizes personal responsibility in trading decisions; warns against over-leveraging in volatile markets which can lead to severe financial consequences.

Volatility and Uncertainty

  • Discusses the chaotic nature of current market conditions driven by geopolitical uncertainties, advising caution when engaging in trades during such times.
  • Highlights the dangers of trading without proper risk management tools like stop-loss orders, warning that failure to do so can result in significant losses.

Accountability and Education

  • The speaker asserts their commitment to responsible teaching practices, ensuring that students understand they are ultimately accountable for their own trading actions.

Understanding the Risks in Trading

The Role of Educators and Mentors

  • The speaker emphasizes the importance of educators, mentors, and coaches in guiding individuals through trading, especially when they may not fully grasp the risks involved.
  • Acknowledges that many new traders might not understand the elevated risks associated with current market conditions and aims to capture their attention for learning purposes.

Patience in Trading

  • Highlights that successful trading often involves waiting for sound setups rather than impulsively entering trades; patience is crucial for low-risk, high-probability conditions.
  • Discusses how some traders may find themselves on the right side of a trade by chance rather than skill, stressing that luck does not exist in trading.

Responsibility and Risk Management

  • The speaker commits to maintaining a responsible approach to mentoring, avoiding grandstanding or promoting risky behavior among community members.
  • Promises transparency about inflated risks and intends to act accordingly as a mentor during volatile market periods.

Future Communication Plans

Playlists: 2025 Lecture Series
Video description

Government Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN Trading performance displayed herein is hypothetical. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance trading results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. U.S. Government Required Disclaimer – Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trade at your own risk. The information provided here is of the nature of a general comment only and neither purports nor intends to be, specific trading advice. It has been prepared without regard to any particular person’s investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. Information should not be considered as an offer or enticement to buy, sell or trade. You should seek appropriate advice from your broker, or licensed investment advisor, before taking any action. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Simulated performance results contain inherent limitations. Unlike actual performance records the results may under or over compensate for such factors such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses to those shown. The risk of loss in trading can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. If you purchase or sell Equities, Futures, Currencies or Options you may sustain a total loss of the initial margin funds and any additional funds that you deposit with your broker to establish or maintain your position. If the market moves against your position, you may be called upon by your broker to deposit a substantial amount of additional margin funds, on short notice in order to maintain your position. If you do not provide the required funds within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated at a loss, and you may be liable for any resulting deficit in your account. Under certain market conditions, you may find it difficult or impossible to liquidate a position. This can occur, for example, when the market makes a “limit move.” The placement of contingent orders by you, such as a “stop-loss” or “stop-limit” order, will not necessarily limit your losses to the intended amounts, since market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.