2025 Storytellers Series - NQ Futures June 05, 2025

2025 Storytellers Series - NQ Futures June 05, 2025

Storyteller Series: NASDAQ Futures Contract Analysis

Overview of the June 2025 NASDAQ Futures Contract

  • The discussion focuses on the storyteller series for the NASDAQ futures contract set for June delivery, specifically June 5th, 2025.
  • Reference is made to a previous video discussing levels and inefficiencies that will be revisited in this analysis.

Understanding Daily Inefficiencies

  • The speaker highlights an old inefficiency or daily "cibby" (a term likely referring to a specific market structure), emphasizing its importance in trading decisions.
  • Non-farm payroll week presents challenges; traders are advised to avoid trading after Wednesday's London session until Friday's employment data release at 8:30 AM Eastern Time.

Trading Strategies During Non-Farm Payroll Week

  • The speaker stresses the significance of understanding higher time frame inefficiencies as real support and resistance levels rather than arbitrary highs and lows.
  • A focus on using one-minute charts is emphasized, with no new opening gap utilization or first presented fair value gaps being applied today.

Practical Trading Insights from Recent Sessions

  • The speaker shares personal trading experiences during the London session, noting a short position taken near session highs based on liquidity draws.
  • Discussion includes how employment data impacts market behavior, particularly referencing price action around daily cibby levels.

Market Behavior and Strategy Adjustments

  • Observations are made about market reactions post-employment data release, including potential bullish trends despite initial sell-offs.
  • The concept of bearish order blocks is introduced; traders are encouraged to identify these for potential short positions targeting liquidity below recent lows.

Challenges in Trading During High Volatility Periods

  • Wednesdays and Thursdays during non-farm payroll week can lead to frustrating trading conditions due to erratic price movements.

Market Analysis and Trading Strategies

Understanding Market Movements

  • The market experiences a downward movement, breaking below relative equal lows and reaching the daily CIBBY low. A subsequent rally occurs back to half of the daily CIBBY.
  • Observations are made regarding sell-side liquidity pools, particularly referencing Wednesday's trading patterns that indicate clear opportunities for short selling.
  • The analysis highlights the importance of recognizing inefficiencies in market movements, with further breakdown into lower quadrants providing additional shorting opportunities.

Trading Opportunities and Market Structure

  • As the market closes, it opens significantly lower but rallies back up to levels of inefficiency. This behavior indicates potential trading strategies based on observed patterns.
  • Emphasis is placed on studying price swings annotated in shared charts, focusing on how buying and selling can be effectively utilized without needing every analytical tool available.

Key Concepts for Traders

  • The discussion encourages traders to consider market conditions—whether they are consolidating or trending—as foundational elements for developing trade setups.
Video description

Government Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN Trading performance displayed herein is hypothetical. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance trading results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. U.S. Government Required Disclaimer – Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trade at your own risk. The information provided here is of the nature of a general comment only and neither purports nor intends to be, specific trading advice. It has been prepared without regard to any particular person’s investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. Information should not be considered as an offer or enticement to buy, sell or trade. You should seek appropriate advice from your broker, or licensed investment advisor, before taking any action. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Simulated performance results contain inherent limitations. Unlike actual performance records the results may under or over compensate for such factors such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses to those shown. The risk of loss in trading can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. If you purchase or sell Equities, Futures, Currencies or Options you may sustain a total loss of the initial margin funds and any additional funds that you deposit with your broker to establish or maintain your position. If the market moves against your position, you may be called upon by your broker to deposit a substantial amount of additional margin funds, on short notice in order to maintain your position. If you do not provide the required funds within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated at a loss, and you may be liable for any resulting deficit in your account. Under certain market conditions, you may find it difficult or impossible to liquidate a position. This can occur, for example, when the market makes a “limit move.” The placement of contingent orders by you, such as a “stop-loss” or “stop-limit” order, will not necessarily limit your losses to the intended amounts, since market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.