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Democrats’ huge shift on Israel, explained
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Democrats’ huge shift on Israel, explained

The Shift in Democratic Party's Stance on Israel

Gavin Newsom's Remarks

  • Governor Gavin Newsom of California labels Israel as an "apartheid state," indicating a significant shift in the Democratic Party's stance towards Israel.
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  • This statement reflects a broader change within the party, moving away from traditional pro-Israel sentiments that were once dominant.

Historical Context

  • The discussion highlights a historical context where U.S. presidents, both Republican and Democrat, have previously criticized Israeli actions, contrasting with current attitudes.
  • Notably, Ronald Reagan suspended arms to Israel during its war in Lebanon due to humanitarian concerns.

Key Presidential Actions

  • George H.W. Bush had confrontations with Israel over West Bank settlements and suspended loan guarantees as a form of political pressure.
  • Bill Clinton solidified the pro-Israel consensus within the Democratic Party, which expanded under George W. Bush’s administration.

Barack Obama's Presidency

  • Obama aimed to negotiate peace rather than engage militarily, leading to tensions with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu.
  • Significant moments included Biden's visit coinciding with new settlement announcements by Netanyahu, showcasing ongoing friction between U.S. and Israeli policies.

Post-Hamas Attack Dynamics

  • Following the October 7th Hamas attack, President Biden maintained strong support for Israel despite rising international criticism regarding civilian casualties in Gaza.
  • Polling data indicates a dramatic shift among Democrats who now sympathize more with Palestinians than Israelis for the first time ever.

Cultural Change Among Democrats

  • A Pew poll reveals nearly half of Democratic voters view Israelis negatively while favoring Palestinians positively at 70%.
  • Pro-Israel candidates are increasingly distancing themselves from traditional support groups like AIPAC due to changing voter sentiments.

Implications for Future Elections

  • As the 2028 presidential election approaches, candidates will need to navigate this evolving landscape regarding U.S.-Israel relations carefully.
  • Current congressional leaders' pro-Israel stances may clash with shifting grassroots opinions within the party as they prepare for upcoming primaries.

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Video description

Democratic voters are sprinting away from Israel. Their leaders aren’t keeping pace. Two and a half years after Hamas’s attack and Israel’s subsequent onslaught, U.S. public opinion on Israel has changed dramatically. More Americans than ever sympathize with the Palestinian cause, hold negative views of the Israeli government and people, and support reevaluating the U.S relationship to Israel — and that’s been overwhelmingly driven by Democrats. The U.S.-Israel lobby is increasingly persona non grata in Democratic primaries, and, even before the U.S-Israeli war in Iran, 2028 candidates were actively trying to distance themselves from AIPAC. All of that has ramifications for U.S. foreign policy, military policy, and diplomacy. But it has also placed Democratic leaders like Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries increasingly out of step with their party’s activists and talking heads. That it could set up a big revolt — even a “liberal Tea Party” — in the years ahead. 0:00 Intro 1:18 Pre-October 7th 3:47 Obama and Netanyahu 6:07 Biden and post-October 7th 7:21 Dems’ huge polling change 9:55 2028 and a potential Dem revolt Subscribe to Steve's newsletter: TheLongRun.news Subscribe to The Recount https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCmsrXvrQ1S_61vVO-fNL-Mg?sub_confirmation=1