Bombers to smash Eagles, Dusty to fire | AFL Round 11 Best Bets

Introduction

The hosts introduce the show and discuss their favorite games for round 11 of the AFL.

Host Introductions

• The hosts introduce themselves and the show.

• They discuss their favorite games for round 11, including Essendon vs West Coast and Collingwood vs North Melbourne.

Fantasy Tips

• Leo shares his fantasy picks for the weekend, including Dusty and Canelia.

• Alex discusses his fantasy picks and mentions that he is ready to put himself through some torture.

Round 11 Preview

The hosts preview each game in round 11 of the AFL.

Recap of Last Week's Results

• The hosts recap last week's results, with Stats Guy in the lead at 64 tips.

• Leo clarifies that he has an 8 out of 19 record in fantasy bets.

Friday Game Preview - Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues

• The hosts preview the Friday night game between Sydney Swans and Carlton Blues, with both tipping Carlton to win.

Carlton vs Sydney Preview

In this section, the speakers discuss the upcoming match between Carlton and Sydney.

Carlton Favorites on the Road

• Carlton are two and a half point favorites.

• Swans have lost their last three at the SCJ.

Betting Tips for the Game

• The over-under is 164.5, and it's recommended to go under because Carlton stinks.

• Buddy has scored 93 goals in 19 games against Carlton, making him a big threat.

• Buddy three plus goals was an easy bet with $3.75 earlier in the week with Bet365.

Team Analysis

• Sydney has lots of injuries, including no tools, Latom's went down, another tour went down, leaving only four tour dudes in the entire team.

• Carlton ball usage and defensive mid-pressure are weak points that need improvement as they tend to have a lot of disposals but not doing much with it inside 50s.

Final Thoughts

• The game is tricky to predict due to both teams' inconsistent form throughout the season.

• Despite being a tough game for both sides, speakers believe that Carlton will win by snaking it out due to their recent form against Sydney and Buddy's impressive record against them.

AFL Match Preview: Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues

In this section, the speakers discuss the upcoming match between Sydney Swans and Carlton Blues. They talk about the key players to watch out for and make their predictions for the game.

Key Players to Watch Out For

• Errol from Sydney Swans is averaging over 25 disposals per game.

• Sam Walsh from Carlton Blues is a consistent performer who touches the ball frequently but lacks impact.

• Charlie Kurno from Carlton Blues has been in good form and could win the game off his boot.

Predictions for the Game

• The speakers have different opinions on who will win, with one predicting Sydney Swans by 39 points and the other predicting Carlton Blues by 39 points.

• Adam Chera from Carlton Blues is expected to score over 100 fantasy points in this game.

• Heaney from Sydney Swans showed promise in the last quarter of their previous game and is expected to perform well with at least 15 disposals and two goals.

AFL Match Preview: St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks

In this section, the speakers briefly discuss an upcoming match between St Kilda Saints and Hawthorn Hawks.

Key Points

• The speakers do not expect this to be an exciting match and do not plan on watching it.

• St Kilda Saints are favored to win with odds of $1.20 while Hawthorn Hawks have odds of $4.50.

AFL Game Analysis

In this section, the speakers discuss the upcoming AFL game between Hawthorne and St. Kilda. They talk about the over-under line, player props, and their predictions for the game.

Predictions for the Game

• The speakers discuss whether or not Hawthorne can score against St. Kilda.

• They mention that Hawthorne has a poor record against the line at Marvel Stadium.

• The speakers predict that St. Kilda will win and recommend taking them with a -27.5 line.

Player Props

• Max King is discussed as a good option for three plus goals at $2.25 with Bet365.

• Mitch Lewis is mentioned as having kicked six goals in his last game and being a good option for two plus goals.

• Oscar Allen is recommended as another good option for two plus goals at $2.25 with Ladbrokes.

• Jack Sinclair is discussed as a good option for 30+ disposals or 100+ fantasy points.

Other Insights

• The speakers mention that St. Kilda's defense is strong and will likely dominate against Hawthorne's low-scoring offense.

• They also note that Hawthorne has only scored around 60 points per game this season if you take out their game against West Coast Eagles.

Melbourne vs Fremantle Preview

In this section, the speakers discuss the upcoming match between Melbourne and Fremantle.

Melbourne's Performance

• Melbourne has scored 82 and under in their three losses. In their wins, their lowest score is 90. They've kicked well over 100 points in all other games.

• Clayton Oliver has missed only one game out of the last 146 that he's been available for. He had 30+ possessions in four of his last five games at MCG.

• Bailey Fritch needs to lift his performance as they have no forward line. He has six goals in his last two games against Fremantle and two plus goals in ten of his last twelve games. The odds for him to kick three plus goals are $2.85.

Luke Jackson and Fremantle's Performance

• Luke Jackson is coming up against the D’s for the first time, with odds of $1.68 to kick a goal and $4.33 for him to get 20+ possessions.

• Wally Lup's form shows that they've kicked over 100 points against Grand Finalists in the last two weeks.

Fremantle's Performance

• Sarong and Brayshaw had 60+ combined touches in their previous two wins against Geelong.

• Brayshaw has turned a corner with thirty-plus possessions in his last four games.

• If Freo can deliver the ball quickly to their unique forward line, they can win this game.

Betting Odds

• The line is up to 20.5 now, and the odds are $1.30 for Melbourne to win and $3.20 for Fremantle to win.

Christian Petraka and Geelong vs GWS

The speakers discuss Christian Petraka's TikToks and how Marcus hates them. They then move on to discussing the upcoming game between Geelong and GWS.

Discussion of Christian Petraka

• Leo mentions Christian Petraka, who he loves as Marcus hates his TikToks.

• Marcus hates him, which is why Leo is going for him.

Preview of Geelong vs GWS Game

• Leo previews the upcoming game between Geelong and GWS.

• He predicts that No Clary will be the key player for Geelong in this game.

• The speakers discuss the recent performance of GWS against top eight teams.

• They mention that GWS has failed to cover the line in many games against top eight teams but won their last game against Geelong at GMHBA Stadium. ,

• Leo suggests that Jeremy Cameron will be a key player for Geelong in this game, given his past performance at GMHBA Stadium and his desire to perform well against his old club. ,

• The speakers also discuss other potential players to watch, including Withfield, Canelo, and Green. [0:24;09] (1449)

Preview of GWS vs Geelong Game

The speakers discuss the upcoming game between GWS and Geelong, including the injury list for both teams and their recent performance.

Injury List and Recent Performance

• The speakers discuss the injury list for both teams.

• They mention that GWS is without Himmelberg and Haynes due to concussion.

• Patrick Dangerfield may play this week for Geelong, but they have a long list of injured players.

• The speakers note that Geelong has lost their last two games, which may affect their performance in this game.

• They also mention that GWS has a poor record playing interstate games.

Preview of Game

• The speakers discuss how GWS can beat Geelong by holding onto the ball and beating them with pace. [00:24;09] (1449)

• Leo suggests that Jeremy Cameron will be a key player for Geelong in this game, given his past performance at GMHBA Stadium and his desire to perform well against his old club. ,

• The speakers also discuss other potential players to watch, including Withfield, Canelo, and Green. [0;24;09] (1449)

Fantasy Picks and Game Predictions

In this section, the speakers discuss their fantasy picks for upcoming games and make predictions about which teams will win.

Fantasy Picks

• Leo's fantasy pick is Stephen Caniglio to score 100+ points at $2.05 odds.

• Another fantasy pick is Bailey Smith to score 100+ points at $2.10 odds.

Game Predictions

• The speakers predict that Geelong will win against GWS.

• They predict that Western Bulldogs will win against Gold Coast Suns.

• They discuss players to watch in the games, including McCray and Ben King.

Players to Watch

In this section, the speakers discuss specific players to watch in upcoming games.

Players to Watch

• Bontempelli, Libba, and True Law are discussed as important players for Western Bulldogs.

• McCray and Ben King are mentioned as players to watch in the Gold Coast Suns vs Western Bulldogs game.

• Rory Lobb's recent performance is discussed.

Team Analysis

In this section, the speakers analyze different teams' performances and discuss gaps in their rosters.

Team Analysis

• The speakers discuss gaps in Gold Coast Suns' roster since Tuk-Mell has been out.

• They mention Bailey Humphrey's recent good performance for Western Bulldogs.

• The speakers discuss the West Coast vs Essendon game briefly.

English Previewing the Essendon vs West Coast Match

In this section, the speakers discuss the upcoming match between Essendon and West Coast. They talk about the poor form of West Coast and how they have lost 17 of their last 18 games. They also discuss how important it is for Essendon to win by a large margin to boost their percentage.

Importance of Percentage Boost

• It's important for Essendon to win by a large margin to boost their percentage.

• Late in the year, teams need that boost in percentage to secure their position.

• The speakers have never seen a bit of percentage come into play at the end of a season.

• The speakers suggest betting on Essendon scoring over 111.5 points.

Poor Form of West Coast

• West Coast has lost 17 of their last 18 games, eight by 40 or more points.

• West Coast's point average this year is just terrible, under 59.5 points per game.

• They've leaked 1,158 points in ten games.

• If Essendon can shore up their defense even slightly, they'll restrict West Coast to six or seven goals.

Players and Fantasy Picks

• Langford is favored to score three or more goals at $2.50 odds.

• Zach Merrett is suggested as a good fantasy pick with odds for him getting over 35 disposals at $2.35

• The speakers suggest betting on Richmond with odds of $2.02 with Betar and $1.80 with Ladbrokes.

Final Thoughts

• The speakers pick Essendon to win the match.

• They discuss Dusty's use of the word "Ibiza" and joke about it.

[t=0:33:49s] Port Adelaide vs Richmond Preview

In this section, the speaker discusses his thoughts on the upcoming match between Port Adelaide and Richmond.

Speaker's Thoughts on the Match

• The speaker believes that the position of Ken Hinckley is untentable.

• The speaker thinks that it will be hard to predict who will dominate in the match.

• The speaker predicts that Port Adelaide will win based on their recent performance.

• The speaker believes that Rosie and Butters from Port Adelaide can back up their performance from last week.

Players to Watch

• The speaker thinks that Taranto from Richmond will get 30+ points.

• The speaker recommends Dusty and Bolton as fantasy picks for the match.

[t=0:37:15s] Collingwood vs North Melbourne Preview

In this section, the speaker discusses his thoughts on the upcoming match between Collingwood and North Melbourne.

Speaker's Thoughts on the Match

• The speaker thinks that Collingwood will win but does not feel good about it.

Players to Watch

• No specific players were mentioned in this section.

English Fun to Watch

In this section, the speakers discuss their interest in watching North Melbourne and other topics.

Interest in Watching North Melbourne

• Collin enjoys watching North Melbourne.

• The speakers discuss Collin's interest in animal videos on Twitter.

• Brett Ratten suggests letting Wardlaw and Sheasel run with the best midfield of the competition to learn from them.

Watching Swans vs. North Melbourne Game

• The speakers discuss their experience watching the Swans vs. North Melbourne game.

• They talk about how they felt during the game and how it was enjoyable to watch despite not being a Swans fan.

• They joke about how the game was rigged for money and how funny it was seeing fans throw trash on the ground.

Predictions for Upcoming Games

• The speakers make predictions for upcoming games between Lions and Pies, including Pendle's 25 plus, My check three plus, and going over line bets.

English Collingwood vs. North Melbourne Game

In this section, the speakers discuss their predictions for the upcoming Collingwood vs. North Melbourne game.

Predictions for Players' Performance

• The speakers predict that Collingwood will kick 20+ goals but that North will still kick 10 to 13 themselves.

• They predict Jack Zeeble will have 100+ fantasy points due to his kick-ins.

• They suggest that if Cores kicks straight again like last week, his head will explode.

English Conclusion

In this section, the speakers conclude their discussion about the upcoming Collingwood vs. North Melbourne game.

Final Thoughts

• The speakers wrap up their discussion and express excitement for watching the game.

• They discuss various players' performances and make predictions for how the game will go.

AFL Round 20 Preview

In this section, the speakers discuss the upcoming match between Adelaide and Brisbane in round 20 of the AFL.

Betting Odds and Predictions

• The speakers discuss the betting odds for the match, with Adelaide at $2.12 head to head and Brisbane at $1.75.

• They also mention that Brisbane is favored by four and a half points, with an over/under of 164 and a half points.

• One speaker mentions that he initially laid it with Adelaide but later changed his mind due to their recent form.

Key Players

• The speakers discuss key players for both teams, including Jordan Dawson, Rory Laird, Tex Walker, Joe Daniher, Charlie Cameron, and Josh Dunkley.

• They express confidence in Tex Walker's ability to score goals for Adelaide.

• One speaker predicts that Charlie Cameron will score four or more goals for Brisbane while another predicts that Josh Dunkley will have 25 or more disposals.

Final Predictions

• The speakers debate which team will win the match. One speaker initially leans towards Adelaide but changes his mind after considering Brisbane's recent form.

• They ultimately predict that Brisbane will win by a small margin but acknowledge that Adelaide has some strong players who could make an impact on the game.

AFL Betting Tips

In this section, the speakers discuss their betting tips for the upcoming round of AFL matches.

Rising Star Will Ashcroft

• Will Ashcroft is a rising star with 90+ fantasy points and a price of $2.45.

• He has a good midfield group around him, similar to Dayne Zorko last year.

• Ashcroft may be in for a big month or so.

• Leo likes Ashcroft as well.

Best Bet for the Week

• Harry Big 5 at $15 is Alex's pick, but Leo thinks it's not a good bet.

• Kerr nine hour could do five plus against Sydney at $3.60.

• Jordan Dawson at home with 30+ disposals at $2.25 is also a good option.

• Isaac Heaney to kick two goals tomorrow night at $2.02 is an expansive one.

Fantasy Pick

• Ken Nealeo for $100+ at $2.05 with Ladbrokes is Leo's favorite fantasy pick.

Conclusion

The speakers wrap up their discussion on AFL betting tips and remind listeners to check out their other shows on various social media platforms.

Natural History Museum

In this section, the speaker talks about their experience at the Natural History Museum.

The Speaker's Experience

• The speaker highly recommends visiting the Natural History Museum.

• The speaker spent three and a half hours there and went there for all of their birthdays.

• The speaker lived near the museum and would often go there to look at the dinosaurs.

• The speaker paid $30 to get in and went with friends and family.

Conclusion

In this section, the speakers conclude their discussion.

Final Remarks

• One of the speakers reminds listeners to gamble responsibly.

• The podcast ends.