ICT Mentorship Core Content - Month 09 - The Sentiment Effect
Introduction
This lesson is about the ICT Amplified day trading and scalping, specifically dealing with the sentiment effect. The use of Asian range and opening price are key for day trades.
Buying or Selling Probability
- Use Asian Range High when looking to sell short.
- Use Asian Range Low when looking to go long on bullish days.
- Market will have a short-term shift in sentiment.
- Wait for opposing market directions for high odds setups.
Institutional Order Flow
- Bearish order flow suggests selling above the Asian Range High.
- Bullish order flow suggests buying below the Asian range low.
- Opening price is either Z or GMT's opening price early in the day if it's been a consolidation very close to that same area.
Institutional Order Flow Continued
When institutional order flow is bearish, the market typically goes above the Asian Range High and sucks in street money who buys above that on a breakout. Conversely, when institutional order flow is bullish, moves that go below the Asian range many times trip street money into selling short.
Buy Conditions for Long Entries
- IPTU suggestion based on daily or minimum four-hour discount array must be in play.
- Sufficient range between market price and opposing premium array found on daily and/or minimum four-hour chart.
- Price declines under midnight candle opening price in New York and ideally under the Asian range low will be to a logical discount array on a 15-minute timeframe.
Understanding Market Sentiment and Price Action
In this section, the speaker discusses how to use market sentiment and price action to make profitable trades.
Using Williams Percent R for Sentiment Analysis
- The speaker uses a 10 period Williams percent r to plot sentiment on a 15-minute timeframe.
- They emphasize that they don't look at overbought or oversold conditions but instead focus on price primarily.
- When there is a sentiment confluence, it gives higher odds of being on the right side of the marketplace.
Analyzing Price Movement
- The speaker explains why prices went up during the week and how they predicted it would happen.
- They discuss how cell conditions are proper setups for short entries.
- The speaker emphasizes that short-term sentiment will be most bullish when entering short trades.
Criteria for Day Trades
- There should be sufficient range in pips between market price and opposing discount array found on daily or minimum four-hour chart.
- Ideally, price rallies above opening price in Midnight New York handle and Asian Range High before sharply trading lower away from 15-minute premium array.
- Day trading is not an everyday trading strategy; traders should only enter when specific criteria are met.
Example: Dollar Swiss Pair
- The speaker uses the dollar Swiss pair as an example of how their teachings work in practice.
- They explain how they traded up to a rejection block on Thursday Friday before filling in the discount array seen on the daily chart.
Overall, this section provides insights into using market sentiment and price action to make profitable trades. The speaker emphasizes the importance of analyzing price movement and using specific criteria for day trades. They also provide an example of how their teachings work in practice using the dollar Swiss pair.
The Dangers of Overtrading
In this section, the speaker warns against overtrading and explains why it is not a healthy lifestyle for traders.
Overtrading Leads to Losses
- The more you trade, the more likely you are to experience losses.
- Trading every day can lead to a false sense of ability and make you think you are better than you really are.
- The market can go into a dry spell, making it difficult to find good trades.
Using Sentiment and Rule-Based Ideas for Day Trading
In this section, the speaker discusses how using sentiment and rule-based ideas about the Asian range can help traders find better trades with higher probability.
Finding Better Trades
- Using sentiment and rule-based ideas about the Asian range helps traders find better trades with higher probability.
- This condition may not occur every trading day but when it does, it presents the highest probability for day trading.
Conclusion
The speaker wishes good luck and good trading until the next lesson.