Cuando ya no esté: Capítulo 1 (Parte 1/2) | #0

Introduction

The speaker discusses the role of curiosity in exploration, research, and learning. However, when questions are directed towards the future, things become more complicated.

Curiosity and Future Questions

• Curiosity is an emotional aspect that drives exploration, research, and learning.

• When questions are directed towards the future, it becomes challenging.

• New horizons are opening up with significant changes on the horizon.

• We are bidding farewell to one world while another is rapidly taking shape.

Exploring the Future

The speaker expresses a desire to travel to the future to understand what it holds. They plan to meet and listen to those who are designing this new time.

Meeting with Experts

• The speaker plans to travel to the future as a professional endeavor.

• They want to uncover their curiosity and unravel how the world will be without them.

• Three friends accompany them on this journey:

• Juan Luis Arsuaga (anthropologist)

• Cristina Garmendia (specialist in science and innovation)

• Javier Gomá (philosopher)

Sensations of Change

The speed at which changes occur in society is remarkable. This rapid transformation evokes various emotions such as curiosity, hope, fear, ethics, and a sense of destiny.

Rapid Changes

• Changes are happening at an accelerated pace compared to previous times.

• Society's actions drive these changes rather than being reversible.

• The speed at which different technologies penetrate society is astonishing.

• Concerns arise regarding both the speed of change and depletion of natural resources.

Depletion of Resources

The speaker highlights the alarming rate at which natural resources are being depleted. They emphasize the importance of reusing and maximizing the use of raw materials and energy.

Depletion of Natural Resources

• In 1960, society consumed two-thirds of the resources available that year.

• By October 2013, reserves of some resources were already depleted.

• The speed at which resources are being exhausted is a cause for concern.

• Europe has recognized this issue and is working towards an economy based on circularity.

Increasing Energy Consumption

The speaker discusses the increasing consumption of energy and materials with each generation. They express concern about the sustainability of this trend.

Rising Energy Consumption

• Each generation consumes more energy than the previous one.

• This leads to a significant increase in overall energy and material consumption.

• The finite nature of resources, such as water, poses a challenge to sustain this level of consumption.

Transition from Ownership to Use

There is an emerging shift from ownership to usage, indicating a move towards a more collaborative economy. This change is driven by social movements and new technologies.

Transitioning to Usage

• A transition from owning to using goods and services is taking place.

• This shift aligns with a more collaborative economy.

• New tools and technologies contribute to this transformation.

• However, it may result in job losses due to automation and technological advancements.

Uncertain Job Market

The speaker mentions that a significant percentage of future jobs have not yet been invented. They also highlight concerns about job losses due to automation and technology advancements.

Future Job Market

• According to the US Department of Labor, 65% of future jobs have not been invented yet.

• However, this transition may lead to a significant number of job losses.

• The impact of robotics and new technologies on employment is a growing concern.

Decrease in Rural Population due to Mechanization

This section discusses the significant decrease in rural population since the mechanization of agriculture in the 1960s. It highlights how this shift has led to major changes in Spain and the Western world.

Impact of Mechanization on Rural Population

• The mechanization of agriculture in the 1960s resulted in a significant decrease in rural population.

• This transition is considered the largest migration movement in the history of Spain and the Western world.

New Job Opportunities and Global Disparities

• The emergence of new job opportunities related to technology and globalization varies across different regions.

• While Asia and America have greater prospects, Europe may face challenges due to different demographic and economic rhythms.

• Europe might need to compromise its social welfare achievements when adapting to global demands or choose to influence others with its values.

Occidental Influence on Globalization

• Globalization is largely influenced by Western culture, including concepts like self-criticism and multiculturalism.

• However, it is important to acknowledge that science, which is a product of Western thought, transcends cultural boundaries.

• As globalization progresses, Europe may become more similar to other regions rather than maintaining its distinct identity.

Importance of Justice and Dignity

This section emphasizes the significance of justice and dignity as fundamental human rights. It also explores how wealth is relative while justice remains essential for societal well-being.

Relativity of Wealth

• Wealth is relative as it depends on one's access to resources compared to those around them.

• The pursuit of justice stems from human nature's inherent need for fair treatment rather than material wealth.

Technology's Impact on Justice

• Technological advancements have revolutionized communication speed, connecting individuals globally.

• Families are now dispersed worldwide, but technology enables regular visual contact despite physical distance.

• However, the rapid pace of technological change has outpaced our ability to adapt and educate ourselves on responsible and ethical use.

Education for Expanded Freedom

• To fully benefit from technological advancements, there is a need for education that promotes virtuous, responsible, and socially conscious use of technology.

• The acceleration of technology has surpassed educational efforts, leading to a sense of overwhelm and a lack of preparedness in utilizing technology effectively.

Changing Dynamics and Loss of Privacy

This section explores the changing dynamics brought about by globalization and technology. It discusses the loss of privacy in the digital age and the impact on personal relationships.

Dispersed Families

• Modernity has led to families being scattered across different parts of the world.

• Parents may have children in different countries, resulting in physical separation but maintained contact through new technologies.

Technology's Role in Maintaining Connections

• New technologies allow individuals to maintain daily visual contact with their loved ones regardless of geographical distance.

• However, sustaining viewpoints becomes challenging when constantly exposed to diverse perspectives through online platforms.

Need for Sentimental Education

• The rapid advancement of technology requires an education that cultivates emotional intelligence and responsible use.

• There is a need for individuals to navigate the overwhelming speed at which information circulates while maintaining critical thinking skills.

Power Struggles in the Digital Age

This section delves into power struggles in the digital age, focusing on control over big data. It also raises questions about privacy concerns and patent rights.

Big Data as a Battleground

• Control over big data has become a significant battleground where power struggles occur.

• The control over data is now central to contemporary power dynamics, surpassing traditional battles for energy resources.

Privacy Concerns and Patent Rights

• With real-time sharing of ideas through social media, privacy concerns arise as ideas are already present on the internet.

• The loss of privacy is a growing concern, although historical societies had limited knowledge about individuals in small communities.

Technology as a Tool for Control

• Technology itself is neutral, but its use can be either shared or reserved for personal gain.

• The debate surrounding technology extends beyond sharing to issues of data ownership and control.

Lack of Intimacy and Changing Societies

This section discusses the loss of intimacy in modern society due to increased access to information. It also reflects on the need for referents and power struggles in contemporary times.

Loss of Intimacy

• Modern society has led to a decrease in personal intimacy due to the availability of extensive information about individuals.

• In contrast to previous eras where small communities had limited knowledge about each other, today's digital age exposes personal details.

Need for Referents

• Previous generations lacked referents, but social media now provides access to inspirational figures and diverse perspectives.

• Individuals may find inspiration from unknown people whose ideas resonate with them through online platforms.

Power Struggles and Technological Progress

• Some argue that power struggles have diminished due to technological progress, while others believe they have shifted towards controlling big data.

Estudio del Poder y la Tecnología

En esta sección, el hablante discute su perspectiva sobre el poder y cómo este se fragmenta en sociedades complejas. También menciona que las grandes mutaciones en la sociedad han sido resultado de cambios tecnológicos y cambios en el pensamiento humano.

El poder en sociedades complejas

• El hablante se siente cómodo cuando el poder se personaliza como una entidad unitaria.

• Rechaza la teoría conspiratoria de que unas pocas personas planifican todo el universo desde Davos.

• Argumenta que las sociedades abiertas tienen un poder extremadamente fragmentado.

La chapuza como principio histórico

• Según la experiencia personal del hablante, ha conocido a personas con poder y ha observado que la historia está gobernada por la chapuza.

• La chapuza no es negativa, sino más bien una falta de planificación unitaria.

• Existen múltiples centros de poder complejos que interactúan entre sí.

Grandes mutaciones sociales

• Las grandes mutaciones sociales ocurren como resultado de cambios tecnológicos o cambios en el pensamiento humano.

• Estas mutaciones pueden ser adaptaciones al medio ecológico o adaptaciones al medio social.

• Nuestra evolución ha estado influenciada por nuestro desarrollo de habilidades sociales y competencia social.

El cerebro como procesador de información social

• Nuestro cerebro ha evolucionado para procesar información social.

• Además de adaptaciones físicas al medio, hemos desarrollado características mentales relacionadas con nuestras interacciones sociales.

El Futuro: Predicciones y Reflexiones

En esta sección, el hablante reflexiona sobre el futuro y cómo la tecnología y los cambios sociales pueden influir en él. También menciona que, a pesar de los avances, ciertos aspectos humanos seguirán siendo esenciales.

La exactación en biología y tecnología

• El hablante compara la evolución biológica con la evolución tecnológica.

• Menciona que a veces los órganos o dispositivos tienen una función inicial pero terminan siendo utilizados para algo mucho más importante.

• Ejemplo: las plumas de las aves inicialmente tenían una función de protección térmica, pero luego se utilizaron para volar.

Predicciones para el futuro

• El hablante plantea la pregunta de qué grandes novedades esperamos que ocurran en los próximos 20 años.

• Señala que es difícil predecir con certeza, pero destaca que cada vez más personas vivirán en grandes ciudades.

• Sugiere que debemos preocuparnos por cómo construir estas ciudades del futuro.

Reflexiones sobre el nacionalismo y la identidad

• El hablante opina que el tema del nacionalismo tiene una vida corta.

• Cree en un orgullo propio hacia nuestra cultura y valores dentro de una identidad globalizada.

• Espera un tipo de nacionalismo basado en bases distintas y colaboración global.

Constantes humanas en el futuro

• A pesar de los cambios tecnológicos y sociales, el hablante cree que seguiremos amando, disfrutando de placeres sencillos y necesitando relaciones sociales.

• Destaca la importancia de preservar nuestras identidades culturales mientras nos adaptamos a un mundo cada vez más globalizado.

El Futuro de las Ciudades

En esta sección, el hablante reflexiona sobre el futuro de las ciudades y cómo la mayoría de la humanidad vivirá en grandes ciudades en los próximos 50 años. También menciona la importancia de adaptarse a estos cambios y construir ciudades adecuadas para albergar a millones de habitantes.

El futuro de las ciudades

• El hablante plantea que dentro de 50 años, la mayoría de la humanidad vivirá en ciudades con millones de habitantes.

• Destaca que este cambio es importante y requiere medidas para construir estas ciudades adecuadamente.

• Señala que debemos ser darwinianos en nuestra capacidad para adaptarnos a los cambios con naturalidad.

Colaboración y liderazgo compartido

• El hablante sugiere que en el futuro seremos personas más abiertas, colaborativas y ubicuas.

• Opina que el nacionalismo tradicional tendrá una vida corta y que debemos defender nuestros valores dentro de una identidad globalizada.

• Destaca la importancia del liderazgo compartido y compartir recursos e ideas entre personas.

Conclusiones sobre el Futuro

En esta sección final, el hablante concluye su reflexión sobre el futuro. Menciona que aunque no podemos predecir con certeza lo que sucederá, hay una predicción importante: dentro de 50 años, casi toda la humanidad vivirá en grandes ciudades. También destaca que aspectos fundamentales como el amor, las relaciones sociales y la conexión con la naturaleza seguirán siendo importantes.

La única predicción segura

• El hablante afirma que la única predicción segura es que dentro de 50 años, casi toda la humanidad vivirá en grandes ciudades.

• Destaca la importancia de tomar medidas para construir estas ciudades adecuadamente.

Constantes humanas en el futuro

• A pesar de los cambios tecnológicos y sociales, el hablante enfatiza que seguirán existiendo aspectos fundamentales como el amor, las relaciones sociales y la conexión con la naturaleza.

New Section

In this section, the speaker discusses the concept of collaboration in product and service development.

The Importance of Collaboration

• The founder of LinkedIn has a quote that says if you are proud of your first prototype, it means that the later iterations will be even better. This highlights the idea that the final version of a product or service is often achieved through collaboration with others.

• Timestamp: 0:21:08

The Cosmopolitan Nature of the Future

• The speaker believes that the future will be increasingly cosmopolitan, with a focus on equality and individual dignity as transformative principles in society.

• Timestamp: 0:21:25

• While there may not be prominent philosophers or theorists specifically dedicated to the concept of dignity, it is founded on the inherent worth and value of every individual. This notion has the potential to bring about significant transformations in society.

• Timestamp: 0:21:44

Historical Transformations and Challenges

• Despite living in an era where equality and dignity are valued, there are still historical remnants of aristocratic and hierarchical cultures that need to be overcome.

• Timestamp: 0:22:03

• The speaker emphasizes that change takes time and mentions how human evolution spans thousands of years. However, biological evolution occurs at such a small scale that it often goes unnoticed. Therefore, societal changes should not be expected to happen overnight.