ICT Mentorship - Core Content - Month 02 - Framing Low Risk Trade Setups
Introduction
The instructor introduces the topic of low-risk trade setups and explains why selecting trade setups on higher time frame charts is ideal.
Importance of Higher Time Frame Charts
- Selecting trade setups on higher time frame charts is ideal for high odds probability trades.
- Higher time frame charts provide directional bias, institutional order flow, and support or resistance ideas.
- Large institutions and banks analyze markets on daily, weekly, and monthly basis.
Lower Risk Trade Setups
The instructor explains how to lower risk in a trade by focusing on higher time frames and transposing those levels to lower time frames.
Refining Trade Setups with Higher Time Frames
- Conditions that lend to a trade setup on a higher time frame can be refined to a lower time frame.
- Transposing the higher time frame levels to lower time frame charts reduces overall exposure in terms of pips for stop losses.
- Refining higher time frame levels to lower time frame charts allows for smaller stop loss placement and by default lower risk.
Example Setup: Aussie Dollar Daily Chart
The instructor uses an example setup to demonstrate how refining with lower risk works.
Using Higher Time Frame Levels for Directional Bias
- The daily chart level 7512 is an old bullish order block because banks have bought there before.
- Trading into that level again provides a higher probability setup.
- A buy order would be needed above this level on an hourly chart.
Refining the Setup with Lower Risk
- Going down into a 15-minute timeframe allows for buying at a lower price point and offering less in terms of risk exposure.
Reducing Risk with Bullish Order Blocks
In this section, the speaker discusses how to reduce risk when buying by using bullish order blocks and refining entry points.
Using Bullish Order Blocks
- A bullish order block is a valuable level to buy from because it has been traded through.
- To reduce risk, focus on the midpoint of the candle up to its high and be a buyer in that area.
- Place a stop loss below the entry point so that if price goes higher, it should not go down to the stop loss.
Refining Entry Points
- By zooming in on a 5-minute chart, refine the entry point from 75.20 to 75.15.
- Use price action on the timeframe you've executed on and look at where price is going to be reaching for it.
- Have an eight-pip stop loss and first profit of eight pips above here second and third so we have a multiple of three r before we even take out the buy stops above this old high on a five minute chart.
Understanding Risk vs Reward in Trading
In this section, the speaker emphasizes understanding risk vs reward in trading and how refining risk can lead to greater rewards.
Risk vs Reward
- Refining your risk can lead to getting multiple of 3r reward for your one dollar risk.
- It's amazing how you can take this and refine it down to smaller time frames; you don't have to have big super wide stops but it does require you to understand what you're doing and why you're doing it.
- You can't get in there with these ultra-short stop-loss orders if you don't understand price action and why it should be responding on these levels.