Aligning Time & Price | Market Maker Sell Model Breakdown
What Are the Struggles of a Creative Mind?
Emotional Turmoil and Identity
- The speaker reflects on the challenges of being misunderstood, expressing a desire for genuine friendships rather than superficial ones.
- There is an acknowledgment of personal struggles with mental health, hinting at feelings of isolation and the weight of expectations from others.
- The speaker discusses the impact of past relationships and experiences on their current state, emphasizing a sense of disconnection from former friends.
Resilience and Determination
- A strong declaration is made about pursuing one's own path regardless of external opinions, highlighting a commitment to self-expression through art.
- The speaker emphasizes hard work as essential for success, suggesting that they will outwork any competition to leave a lasting legacy.
Personal Growth and Future Aspirations
- The narrative shifts towards empowerment, encouraging listeners to take control of their lives and pursue their dreams actively.
- A reminder is given that everyone starts as "losers" or late bloomers in life; perseverance is key to mastering one’s future.
Analyzing Market Trends: A Practical Approach
Trade Execution Insights
- The speaker shares insights into executing trades based on market analysis, specifically focusing on short positions in NQ (Nasdaq).
- They discuss premarket analysis shared with mentorship students, indicating strategic planning before market movements occur.
Key Market Levels
- Attention is drawn to significant price levels where market reactions are expected; this includes previous daily highs and specific candlestick patterns.
- An explanation follows regarding market maker models that dictate price movements after reaching critical levels.
Market Dynamics and Time-Based Trading Strategies
Understanding Market Maker Sell Models
- The concept of a lower time frame market maker sell model is introduced, emphasizing that the initial assumption of forming a longer-term high was incorrect as the market moved higher after taking out the previous daily low.
- A specific down candle is identified as a crucial reference point for trading on Wednesday, highlighting its significance in understanding price action during that period.
- The speaker discusses aligning time and price, referencing a method introduced to the public late last year through social media platforms, particularly X.
Time-Based Price Ranges
- Attention is drawn to specific time-based ranges that traders should investigate, suggesting these can reveal hidden patterns in price movements.
- The importance of 9:00 AM is highlighted; it served as a critical moment when the market rejected prices after CPI data was released.
Analyzing Market Reactions Post-CPI Release
- At 8:30 AM, following the CPI release, there was an aggressive repricing towards the downside which led to significant market movement.
- The run-up into an M15 control block (CB) post-CPI release indicates where traders should look for bearish signals; this area becomes pivotal for shorting opportunities.
Anticipating Distribution Cycles
- The discussion emphasizes anticipating distribution at 9:30 AM based on prior manipulation cycles starting at 8:30 AM.
- A high probability trade setup is outlined from higher time frames down to five-minute intervals focusing on NASDAQ's potential downward movement.
Detailed Analysis of One-Minute Time Frame Movements
- A thorough examination of one-minute movements post-CPI delivery shows how aggressive repricing occurred after forming lows and highs around key levels.
- The significance of reaching M15 CB levels is reiterated; this area serves as both resistance and potential entry points for short trades based on observed market behavior.
Understanding Market Dynamics and Price Action
Irrelevant Price Action and Key Focus Areas
- The speaker emphasizes that the current price action is irrelevant, characterized by a narrow range of movement. Attention should be directed towards the down close scandal as it indicates significant market behavior.
- The down close scandal serves as a potential resistance level; when the market displaces through it at 9:30 AM, it forms a low before retracing into the M1 CB (Market Structure Break).
Trading Decisions Based on Market Behavior
- After observing rejection from the M1 CB, the speaker decides to go short, anticipating that prices will not trade above the 9:30 open due to bearish sentiment.
- A new M1 CB is created, providing another entry opportunity for traders who missed earlier chances. The market exhibits back-and-forth movement before creating a false break.
Importance of Narrative in Trading
- Traders are advised not to rely solely on patterns or imbalances but to first establish a narrative regarding market direction—whether bullish or bearish.
- The speaker frames their trading strategy based on higher time frames, indicating an expectation for downward movement toward sales equity objectives.
Analyzing Market Movements and Imbalances
- A visible volume candle (VC) is created; when the market breaks through this BC (Break Candle), it acts as an inversion for value gaps in price.
- Observing correlations between different indices (ES and NQ), where ES has already reached key levels while NQ has not, informs trading decisions about potential future movements.
Execution and Precision in Trading Strategy
- As the market retraces into sequences of imbalances, partial profits are taken due to anticipated upward movement after forming lows.
- The market struggles with displacing through specific ranges but eventually closes below them, leading to further downward movement toward key sales equity objectives.
Advanced Insights into Algorithmic Price Delivery
- The speaker describes precise algorithmic price delivery during trading sessions, highlighting opportunities for traders based on smart money principles.
- Newcomers may find these concepts complex; however, reviewing previous educational content can enhance understanding of advanced trading strategies discussed here.
Understanding Market Pressure Dynamics
- The speaker argues against simplistic interpretations of buying or selling pressure driving markets. Instead, they advocate for recognizing algorithmic signatures during critical time windows at key price levels.