🟩BITCOIN: 12 ABRIL DICTA la DIRECCION en PRECIO 2023

Bitcoin Price Analysis and MicroStrategy's Recent Bitcoin Purchases

In this video, Juan Rodriguez discusses the current state of the bitcoin market and analyzes MicroStrategy's recent bitcoin purchases. He also compares his own bitcoin savings plan to MicroStrategy's strategy.

Bitcoin Market Analysis

• Bitcoin has been trading in a range between $28,200 and $27,700 for the past three weeks.

• The market is waiting for the next direction after the release of the IPC report on Wednesday.

• The IPC report will dictate the next direction towards May 3rd when the Federal Reserve meets.

• Currently, there is no new money coming into the ecosystem.

MicroStrategy's Recent Bitcoin Purchases

• MicroStrategy has bought more bitcoins recently, bringing their total holdings to 140k bitcoins.

• They have bought at an average price of $29,803 per bitcoin.

• Rodriguez shows a chart that displays all of MicroStrategy's purchases since mid-2020. They have made purchases ranging from $10k to over $60k per bitcoin.

• Other public companies like Tesla and Square also hold significant amounts of bitcoin but at higher average prices than MicroStrategy.

Comparison with Rodriguez's Savings Plan

• Rodriguez shares his own savings plan where he has accumulated almost 0.1 BTC by making monthly purchases ranging from $50 to $200 depending on price movements.

• His average purchase price is around $24,800 which is better than MicroStrategy's average purchase price.

• Rodriguez concludes that you don't need to make astronomical purchases like MicroStrategy and that a monthly savings plan can be effective.

Bitcoin Price and Stable Coin Metrics

In this section, the speaker discusses the price of Bitcoin and stable coin metrics. He shares his personal strategy for accumulating Bitcoin during a period of low prices and highlights the importance of new money entering the ecosystem.

Accumulating Bitcoin at Low Prices

• The speaker's personal strategy involved buying 0.77 Bitcoin over 29 purchases of $500 each when the price was below $19,439 on-chain.

• The current value of these purchases is around $21,600, representing a 50% gain.

• The speaker plans to sell this "bag" at its peak since he has already accumulated enough Bitcoin through this strategy.

Stable Coin Metrics

• The amount of digital dollars in stable coins available for buying Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies has decreased significantly since April 2022.

• This decrease is due to people exchanging their stable coins for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as they take advantage of changing market trends.

• However, there has been no significant increase in new money entering the ecosystem, which is concerning for future price increases.

Analysis of Chain Metrics

• The average purchase price for holders who have owned Bitcoin for more than six months is around $22,446.

• Short-term speculators are currently supporting the market trend while long-term holders continue to hold onto their assets.

Bitcoin Price Predictions and Market Analysis

In this section, the speaker discusses the current state of the bitcoin market and provides insights into future price predictions based on market analysis.

Bitcoin Accumulation by Whales

• The speaker notes that conditions are favorable for short-term investors to continue accumulating bitcoin.

• The speaker shows a chart indicating which groups of investors are currently accumulating or decreasing their holdings of bitcoin.

• The chart indicates that whales with more than 10,000 bitcoins are currently decreasing their holdings, while smaller investors are accumulating.

• The speaker notes that historically, whales tend to enter the market at its peak rather than being responsible for changing trends.

Macro-Economic Factors Affecting Bitcoin Prices

• The speaker notes that inflation rates in the United States will be reported on April 12th and could have an impact on bitcoin prices.

• If inflation rates are lower than expected, it could be bullish for bitcoin prices. Conversely, higher-than-expected inflation rates could be bearish.

• The speaker suggests that markets will continue to recover as long as interest rates remain around 5%, but anticipates a shift when interest rates begin to decrease.

Liquidation Zones and Ethereum Trading Strategy

• The speaker identifies liquidation zones where traders are likely to exit positions in large numbers.

• Based on this information, the speaker plans to start shorting Ethereum.

Zonas de operación según el IPC

En esta sección, el orador habla sobre las zonas de operación en función del IPC.

Zona alta con IPC positivo bajo

• La zona de los 30.400 a los 31.200 es una buena opción para posicionarse si el IPC es positivo y más bajo del 6.0.

• Se puede llegar a esa zona fácilmente en uno o dos días después de que se reporte un IPC positivo.

Zona baja con posiciones grandes

• Las posiciones grandes están entre los 25.800 dólares y la zona de los 24.700 dólares.

• Esta sería una buena zona para posicionarse en largo o empezar a posicionarse de forma importante dependiendo del comportamiento del IPC.

Ventaja al operar en largo o corto

En esta sección, el orador habla sobre la ventaja que se tiene al operar en largo o corto y cómo esto puede ahorrar tarifas.

Ejercicio para evidenciar la ventaja

• El orador ha colocado un ejercicio recientemente para evidenciar cuán grande es la ventaja al operar en largo o corto, especialmente a mediano plazo.

• La idea es mantener una posición por meses y mostrar semanalmente o quincenalmente cuánto se ha ahorrado en tarifas.

Ahorro en tarifas

• El orador muestra cómo solo manteniendo una posición por un día, ya ha ahorrado $1.27 USD en tarifas.

• Si mantiene esta posición por 30 días, se ahorraría $30 USD solo en tarifas.

• Esta herramienta es útil para aquellos que proyectan que Bitcoin estará más alto en el futuro y tienen manos de diamante para mantener la posición.

Operación en vivo

En esta sección, el orador muestra una operación en vivo y cómo esto puede ahorrar tarifas.

Operación colocada a los 28.00066 dólares

• El orador muestra una operación colocada a los 28.00066 dólares.

• La idea es mantener esta posición por semanas o meses y mostrar cuánto se ha ahorrado en tarifas cada semana o quincena.

Ahorro en tarifas

• El orador muestra cómo solo manteniendo la posición por un día, ya ha ahorrado $1.27 USD en tarifas.

• Esta herramienta es útil para tomar ventaja sobre otros traders y ganarle al 80% al 90% de ellos.

Conclusión

En esta sección, el orador concluye su presentación y anima a los espectadores a replicar la información si les ha sido útil.

Herramientas útiles

• Las herramientas mencionadas son útiles para tomar ventaja sobre otros traders y ganarle al 80% al 90% de ellos.

• Mantener posiciones por semanas o meses puede ahorrar mucho dinero en tarifas.

Replicar la información

• Si la información ha sido útil, el orador anima a los espectadores a replicarla y darle un "me gusta".

• Los espectadores pueden esperar actualizaciones sobre cómo surge la operación y cómo avanza.