(11) Struktur Lengkap BBMA: Cara Mengetahui Akhir & Awal Trend!

How to Entry in MHV: Understanding BBMA Setup

Introduction to MHV and BBMA

• The speaker introduces the video as part of a series on BBMA, marking it as the 11th installment.

• Focus is on how to enter in MHV (Market Hilang Volume), following previous discussions about entry methods.

• Emphasizes that entries should only be made at setups, not signals.

Types of Setups for Entry

• There are three main setups for entry: reentry, extreme, and MHV.

• Reentry is highlighted as the strongest setup; if one cannot wait for reentry, they may consider extreme but avoid MHV due to its complexity.

Challenges with MHV

• MHV is difficult to detect because it often leads to losses; it's characterized by counter-trend movements.

• A valid MHV occurs when candlesticks fail to break through the upper or lower Bollinger Bands (BB).

Identifying Market Structure

• The speaker explains that an inability of a candlestick to breach the top or bottom BB indicates an MHV situation.

• Understanding market structure is crucial before attempting entries in MHV.

Market Behavior and Extremes

• Describes market behavior during downtrends and potential reversals; emphasizes recognizing extremes as signals of trend changes.

• An extreme indicates that a downward trend may be ending, suggesting a possible upward movement thereafter.

Conclusion on Entry Strategies

• While extremes signal potential trend reversals, true volume loss (MHV) confirms these shifts.

Understanding Market Dynamics with MHV and Csak

Key Concepts of Market Behavior

• The formation of a red candle indicates that the market cannot break below the low Bollinger Band (BB), leading to the identification of a Market Hilang Volume (MHV). This signifies the end of a downward trend.

• After an MHV forms, the market typically rebounds, creating a Csak pattern and aiming for at least the mid BB. Reentry occurs after this Csak, followed by further momentum.

• Following the formation of Csak, there is often another reentry which leads to increased momentum. This cycle can repeat multiple times as part of market behavior.

Uptrend and Downtrend Patterns

• In an uptrend scenario, when momentum peaks, it usually coincides with extreme conditions in the market. A mandatory Take Profit (TP) area is established before forming another MHV.

• The theory suggests that while these patterns are common, they do not always occur consistently due to varying market conditions. Understanding this structure is crucial for traders.

Theoretical Framework of BBMA

• The theoretical framework begins with identifying extremes in price movement. Following this, markets will move towards mandatory TP areas before establishing MHV formations.

• After forming an MHV, a Csak appears followed by reentries and subsequent momentum phases. It’s important to note that reentry after Csak isn’t guaranteed; sometimes momentum follows directly instead.

Practical Application in Trading

• Traders should be aware that while certain patterns like reentry after momentum are consistent, others may vary based on specific market dynamics across different time frames.

• Observing downtrends can help identify potential reversals; recognizing when downtrends end allows traders to anticipate upward movements effectively.

Identifying Extremes and Market Signals

• An extreme signal occurs when MA5 low exits below low BB; this indicates potential reversal points where markets might shift direction towards TP areas before forming MHVs again.

• When prices fail to break below low BB repeatedly during downturns, it signals an impending rise back toward top BB levels—this cyclical behavior is fundamental in understanding trading strategies within BBMA frameworks.

Understanding BBMA Structure and Market Trends

Key Concepts of BBMA

• The concept of "BB" (Bollinger Bands) is introduced, emphasizing that if the price cannot break through the upper band (stop BB), it will likely decline towards the lower band (lobibi).

• The discussion highlights recognizing market trends, particularly identifying when an uptrend may end by observing extreme price movements.

• A critical point is made about mandatory take profit (TP) areas; if a new momentum forms after reaching TP, it indicates that the previous extreme was not the end of the trend.

Market Behavior Analysis

• If the price fails to break through stop BB after forming a mandatory TP, it signals a potential market reversal (MHV), leading to a downward movement.

• An example illustrates how after reaching an extreme and mandatory TP, if prices do not breach low bibi levels, it suggests further downward movement before potentially re-entering upward.

Practical Application and Future Insights