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Why are housing prices not increasing as much?

In this video, the speaker discusses why housing prices in Turkey are not increasing as much as they did last year. The main reason for this is due to the increase in interest rates on bank deposits, which has caused a decrease in demand for housing.

Housing Prices

• Last year, there was a 200% increase in housing prices according to the Central Bank of Turkey's index.

• Currently, the rate of increase has slowed down to around 150%, and even lower in some central areas of major cities.

• It is expected that the rate of increase will continue to slow down due to the rise in interest rates on bank deposits.

• As interest rates continue to rise, it is likely that there will be a decrease in demand for housing and a subsequent decrease in price.

Factors Affecting Housing Prices

• Interest rates on bank deposits have increased, causing people to keep their money in banks instead of investing it into real estate or other assets.

• The increase in interest rates has made bank deposits more competitive with real estate investments, leading to a decrease in demand for housing.

• In addition to interest rates, factors such as construction material costs and supply also affect housing prices.

İnşaat Maliyetleri ve Dolar

In this section, the speaker discusses the recent data released by TÜİK on construction costs and permits in Turkey. The speaker notes that while there has been a slowdown in the increase of construction costs, they are still high. Additionally, there has been a decrease in building permits issued, which means that housing supply is decreasing. The speaker also discusses the recent increase in the value of the dollar against the Turkish lira due to a shock decrease in industrial production.

Construction Costs and Permits

• TÜİK recently released data on construction costs and permits.

• While there has been a slowdown in the increase of construction costs, they are still high.

• There has been a decrease in building permits issued, which means that housing supply is decreasing.

Dollar Value Increase

• The value of the dollar against the Turkish lira increased due to a shock decrease in industrial production.

• A decrease in industrial production could lead to a decrease in exports and foreign currency entering Turkey, which would worsen Turkey's current account deficit.

• Some economists believe that after elections, the value of the dollar will not continue to rise as much.

Enflasyon Açıklaması ve Piyasa Durumu

In this section, the speaker discusses how markets are anticipating tomorrow's inflation announcement from America. They also discuss how Bank of America was buying stocks today and what it means for Borsa Istanbul.

Inflation Announcement

• Markets are anticipating tomorrow's inflation announcement from America.

• Bank of America was buying stocks today, with a net purchase of approximately 700 million lira.

Borsa Istanbul

• Borsa Istanbul has been doing well this week.

• There are resistance levels at 5,200 and 5,500 and a psychological support level at 5,000.