Why do people believe in conspiracy theories? | Michio Kaku, Bill Nye & more | Big Think

Why do people believe in conspiracy theories? | Michio Kaku, Bill Nye & more | Big Think

How to Reason with a Conspiracy Theorist?

Understanding the Roots of Superstition and Belief

  • Michio Kaku suggests that there may be a genetic predisposition towards superstition and magical thinking, which historically provided survival advantages despite often being incorrect.
  • He contrasts this with science, which relies on reproducible and testable methods, indicating that scientific reasoning is not inherently part of human nature.

Cognitive Dissonance in Worldviews

  • Bill Nye introduces cognitive dissonance as a psychological phenomenon where conflicting evidence challenges an individual's established worldview, leading to either rejection of the evidence or alteration of beliefs.
  • Sarah Rose Cavanagh notes that social media has amplified conspiracy thinking by allowing like-minded individuals to reinforce each other's fringe beliefs.

Tools for Skepticism and Critical Thinking

  • Michael Shermer discusses the "baloney detection kit," a set of tools developed by the skeptical movement to critically assess claims at the margins of science, such as anti-vaccination movements and conspiracy theories.
  • He emphasizes that many conspiracy theories are not directly related to scientific fields but rather exploit them for credibility.

The Role of Fear in Thought Processes

  • Cavanagh argues that fear narrows our thinking and can lead to collective shutdown in problem-solving abilities, suggesting that open-mindedness is essential for addressing threats effectively.

Pareidolia: Seeing Patterns Where None Exist

  • Kaku explains pareidolia—the tendency to see familiar patterns (like faces) in random stimuli—as a hardwired trait that can lead people to perceive non-existent entities or messages in ambiguous situations.

The Danger of Romanticizing Conspiracy Theories

  • Cavanagh warns against the cultural narrative popularized by media (e.g., "The Da Vinci Code") that romanticizes solving grand conspiracies, potentially leading individuals to believe they will uncover hidden truths.

Comfort in Conspiracy Theories

  • Shermer points out that people often create conspiracy theories as a way to alleviate anxiety about uncertainty, providing them with a sense of understanding amidst chaos.

Strategies for Engaging with Conspiracy Theorists

  • John Cameron Mitchell raises concerns about believing conspiracy theories out of desire rather than evidence.
  • Nye suggests fostering dialogue by acknowledging shared discomfort with uncertainty while presenting logical arguments against conspiratorial claims—such as questioning the feasibility of large-scale cover-ups like moon landing conspiracies.

Understanding Conspiracy Theories and the Nature of Truth

The Nature of Palm Reading and Cold Reading

  • It typically takes about two years for individuals to recognize that practices like palm reading, cold reading, or tarot card readings often involve readers taking information from clients and reflecting it back to them.

Characteristics of Conspiracy Theories

  • As conspiracy theories become more extreme, their likelihood of being true decreases; the more people involved in a conspiracy, the less plausible it becomes.
  • Specific conspiracies tend to be more credible, such as insider trading or corporate manipulation (e.g., Volkswagen emissions scandal), compared to broader claims like world domination.

Societal Impact of Information Overload

  • Constant exposure to information can lead to fear and withdrawal among individuals, creating an environment conducive to authoritarian regimes by fostering irrational blame towards marginalized groups.
  • In today's digital age, all news is viewed with suspicion; this skepticism poses significant dangers as facts become malleable.

Importance of Discourse and Free Speech

  • To discern truth from deception, it's essential to engage with opposing viewpoints. This aligns with John Stuart Mill's arguments on liberty from 1859.
  • Listening can help correct misconceptions or strengthen one's own arguments.
  • Everyone has the right to express their views regardless of how unpopular they may be.

Challenges in Combating Misinformation

  • Despite advancements in communication technology, human tendencies toward gossip and misinformation persist. Addressing these issues requires a slow and careful approach.
  • While there are challenges due to misinformation online, digital platforms also provide opportunities for health and human rights advocacy across borders.

Trusting Expertise in Information Consumption

  • It's crucial for society to trust experts over sensationalized internet sources; relying on established fact-checking sites like Snopes.com is recommended for accurate information.

The Evolution of Fake News

  • The phenomenon of fake news has escalated rapidly in the digital age; developing tools for discerning truth will be vital as new ideas emerge continuously.
Video description

Why do people believe in conspiracy theories? Watch the newest video from Big Think: https://bigth.ink/NewVideo Learn skills from the world's top minds at Big Think Edge: https://bigth.ink/Edge ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- From secret societies to faked moon landings, one thing that humanity seems to have an endless supply of is conspiracy theories. In this compilation, physicist Michio Kaku, science communicator Bill Nye, psychologist Sarah Rose Cavanagh, skeptic Michael Shermer, and actor and playwright John Cameron Mitchell consider the nature of truth and why some groups believe the things they do. "I think there's a gene for superstition, a gene for hearsay, a gene for magic, a gene for magical thinking," argues Kaku. The theoretical physicist says that science goes against "natural thinking," and that the superstition gene persists because, one out of ten times, it actually worked and saved us. Other theories shared include the idea of cognitive dissonance, the dangerous power of fear to inhibit critical thinking, and Hollywood's romanticization of conspiracies. Because conspiracy theories are so diverse and multifaceted, combating them has not been an easy task for science. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TRANSCRIPT: BILL NYE: How do I recommend reasoning with a conspiracy theorist? MICHIO KAKU: Well, first of all I think there's a gene. I think there's a gene for superstition, a gene for hearsay, a gene for magic, a gene for magical thinking. And I think that when we were in the forest that gene actually helped us because nine times out of ten that gene was wrong. Superstition didn't work. But one time out of ten it saved your butt. That's why the gene is still here. The gene for superstition and magic. Now there's no gene for science. Science is based on things that are reproducible, testable. It's a long process the scientific method. It's not part of our natural thinking. BILL NYE: I'm right now the last couple of months I've been messing around with this idea of cognitive dissonance. This is to say you have a world view. You're presented with evidence that conflicts with the world view so you either have to change your world view, which is hard because you've lived your whole life with it, or you just dismiss the evidence and dismiss the authorities that may have provided the evidence. The authority could be a person or it could be a book or, excuse me, an article on the electric internet computer machine. So you dismiss the evidence so that you don't have this discomfort, this conflict in your mind, this dissonance. SARAH ROSE CAVANAGH: But we can also see it in conspiracy thinking where these fringe groups or at least they used to be fringe groups on kind of the outskirts of thinking about what could be real or what is happening, paranoid thinking for instance. Thinking about reptoids controlling our government. There have always been people who believed these sort of strange things but what social media and the internet in general has allowed to happen is for people with these beliefs to find each other and then when they're hearing back those same sorts of facts, those same sorts of theories then their beliefs strengthen. MICHAEL SHERMER: What the skeptical movement has developed is a set of tools like the baloney detection kit. A set of tools to deal with particular claims that are on the margins of science like creationism, intelligent design theory, the anti-vaccinations, the holocaust revisionists. All these conspiracy theories and so on and all these alternative medicines. There's hundreds and hundreds of these claims that are all connected to different sciences. But the scientists in those particular fields are too busy working in their research to bother with what these claims are because the claims really aren't about those fields. They're just hooked to them. They're about something else. CAVANAGH: I think that fear is an incredibly dangerous emotion. I think that it causes us to narrow our thinking. I think it causes us to shutdown options and there are a lot of threats in the world but I think what we need to face those threats are open, creative, playful thinking. And when we think as a hive mind, when we think collectively and we do so in a fearful sense then that shuts down a lot of our thinking. KAKU: It's a struggle. It's a struggle that's eternal because it's part of our genetic makeup, okay. And there's even a name for some of this superstition. It's called pareidolia. What is pareidolia? It's the idea that when you look in the sky you see things that are not there. Let's do an experiment. Look at the clouds and try not to see something there. It's very difficult. You look at the clouds, you can't help it. You see Donald Duck. You see Mickey Mouse... Read the full transcript at https://bigthink.com/videos/why-people-believe-conspiracy-theories