Why do people believe in conspiracy theories? | Michio Kaku, Bill Nye & more | Big Think
How to Reason with a Conspiracy Theorist?
Understanding the Roots of Superstition and Belief
- Michio Kaku suggests that there may be a genetic predisposition towards superstition and magical thinking, which historically provided survival advantages despite often being incorrect.
- He contrasts this with science, which relies on reproducible and testable methods, indicating that scientific reasoning is not inherently part of human nature.
Cognitive Dissonance in Worldviews
- Bill Nye introduces cognitive dissonance as a psychological phenomenon where conflicting evidence challenges an individual's established worldview, leading to either rejection of the evidence or alteration of beliefs.
- Sarah Rose Cavanagh notes that social media has amplified conspiracy thinking by allowing like-minded individuals to reinforce each other's fringe beliefs.
Tools for Skepticism and Critical Thinking
- Michael Shermer discusses the "baloney detection kit," a set of tools developed by the skeptical movement to critically assess claims at the margins of science, such as anti-vaccination movements and conspiracy theories.
- He emphasizes that many conspiracy theories are not directly related to scientific fields but rather exploit them for credibility.
The Role of Fear in Thought Processes
- Cavanagh argues that fear narrows our thinking and can lead to collective shutdown in problem-solving abilities, suggesting that open-mindedness is essential for addressing threats effectively.
Pareidolia: Seeing Patterns Where None Exist
- Kaku explains pareidolia—the tendency to see familiar patterns (like faces) in random stimuli—as a hardwired trait that can lead people to perceive non-existent entities or messages in ambiguous situations.
The Danger of Romanticizing Conspiracy Theories
- Cavanagh warns against the cultural narrative popularized by media (e.g., "The Da Vinci Code") that romanticizes solving grand conspiracies, potentially leading individuals to believe they will uncover hidden truths.
Comfort in Conspiracy Theories
- Shermer points out that people often create conspiracy theories as a way to alleviate anxiety about uncertainty, providing them with a sense of understanding amidst chaos.
Strategies for Engaging with Conspiracy Theorists
- John Cameron Mitchell raises concerns about believing conspiracy theories out of desire rather than evidence.
- Nye suggests fostering dialogue by acknowledging shared discomfort with uncertainty while presenting logical arguments against conspiratorial claims—such as questioning the feasibility of large-scale cover-ups like moon landing conspiracies.
Understanding Conspiracy Theories and the Nature of Truth
The Nature of Palm Reading and Cold Reading
- It typically takes about two years for individuals to recognize that practices like palm reading, cold reading, or tarot card readings often involve readers taking information from clients and reflecting it back to them.
Characteristics of Conspiracy Theories
- As conspiracy theories become more extreme, their likelihood of being true decreases; the more people involved in a conspiracy, the less plausible it becomes.
- Specific conspiracies tend to be more credible, such as insider trading or corporate manipulation (e.g., Volkswagen emissions scandal), compared to broader claims like world domination.
Societal Impact of Information Overload
- Constant exposure to information can lead to fear and withdrawal among individuals, creating an environment conducive to authoritarian regimes by fostering irrational blame towards marginalized groups.
- In today's digital age, all news is viewed with suspicion; this skepticism poses significant dangers as facts become malleable.
Importance of Discourse and Free Speech
- To discern truth from deception, it's essential to engage with opposing viewpoints. This aligns with John Stuart Mill's arguments on liberty from 1859.
- Listening can help correct misconceptions or strengthen one's own arguments.
- Everyone has the right to express their views regardless of how unpopular they may be.
Challenges in Combating Misinformation
- Despite advancements in communication technology, human tendencies toward gossip and misinformation persist. Addressing these issues requires a slow and careful approach.
- While there are challenges due to misinformation online, digital platforms also provide opportunities for health and human rights advocacy across borders.
Trusting Expertise in Information Consumption
- It's crucial for society to trust experts over sensationalized internet sources; relying on established fact-checking sites like Snopes.com is recommended for accurate information.
The Evolution of Fake News
- The phenomenon of fake news has escalated rapidly in the digital age; developing tools for discerning truth will be vital as new ideas emerge continuously.