State of Origin Game 1 Best Bets!

State of Origin Special

In this section, the hosts introduce the episode as a State of Origin special and welcome their guests Phil and Alex to discuss everything related to State of Origin.

Introductions

• The hosts introduce the episode as a State of Origin special.

• Guests Phil and Alex are welcomed to discuss everything related to State of Origin.

Team Support and Player Picks

In this section, the guests discuss their team support and player picks for the upcoming game.

Team Support

• Phil expresses his excitement for supporting his team during State of Origin.

• Alex emphasizes that it's "State of Origin" not "state of I want to go for whoever."

Player Picks

• Alex picks Turbo Tom as her favorite player.

• Phil refrains from making any predictions due to the unpredictable nature of State of Origin games.

Betting Odds

In this section, the hosts discuss betting odds for Queensland vs. New South Wales in the upcoming game.

Betting Odds

• Queensland is priced at $2 while New South Wales is priced at $1.82.

• The hosts express surprise at New South Wales being favored despite Queensland's recent winning streak.

• Various betting agencies offer different prices for each team.

Debutants for New South Wales

In this section, the hosts mention three debutants for New South Wales in the upcoming game.

Debutants

• Nico Hines, Hudson Young, and Sevea are mentioned as debutants for New South Wales in the upcoming game.

State of Origin Game 1 Preview

In this section, the hosts discuss their overall feelings about the upcoming State of Origin game and how they think it will play out.

Pre-Game Thoughts

• The hosts share their thoughts on the game before discussing player props.

• They mention that Nathan Cleary may not play due to a tooth infection, which could affect New South Wales' chances.

• If Cleary doesn't play, Queensland may become favorites.

• One host thinks that Cleary will still play despite his injury.

• Both teams have advantages in different positions, making it difficult to predict a winner.

Bench Strength and Value

• Both teams have strong benches, but Queensland has more experience using them effectively.

• Despite being outsiders, Queensland is seen as having value due to their history in the competition.

• New South Wales is likely more desperate for a win since they cannot afford to lose game one with game two taking place in Suncorp Stadium.

Final Thoughts

• The hosts agree that this will be a tight and exciting game of footy.

English Rugby League State of Origin Game 1 Preview

In this video, the presenters discuss their predictions and betting tips for the upcoming Rugby League State of Origin Game 1.

Betting Tips

• Steven Crichton is a fill-in player who could score the last try of the game at over $3.

• Murray to score two or more tries combined is over four bucks at the moment.

• Turbo Tom is in form and scored three tries against Canberra a few weeks ago. He's 11 bucks as a first try scorer, but if he scores, New South Wales are probably going to win.

• Brian Toto has been playing on the right side for Penrith but has enough experience to understand playing on the left.

Player Props

• Turbo Tom finding form just before getting selected for Origin and making Phil and Alex question their Canberra bet.

• Turbo arguably looks more natural attacking down the right edge of the park, passing left to right, putting Jason Saab away, for example.

• Hudson Young was on one of the Fox league shows crediting Panthers big guns with bringing simplicity that helped him understand how to play his role as an edge forward and the lines that he needs.

English Weather and Game Predictions

In this section, the speakers discuss how the weather may affect the game and make predictions about which team will win.

Weather Conditions

• The weather is clear for Wednesday night's game in Adelaide.

• Wet weather can bring nerves into play, which elevates Queensland over New South Wales.

• Clear conditions with no rain or breeze favor New South Wales' outside backs to score more points.

Game Predictions

• Cam Munster is a big game player who is ready for a big game, making him a good choice to score first or last at 21 bucks. His anytime goal scorer odds are also fairly juicy at around $4.25.

• Queensland has won 10 of the last 12 games that hit under total points going into the game, while 11 of the last 17 have gone under 36 or under. This makes it tricky to predict whether to take the over or under, but if you like Queensland and think they'll win, take the under; if you like New South Wales and think they'll win, take the over.

• Alex tips New South Wales to win but suggests taking a little saver on Queensland and under because six of their last nine wins have been 34 points or less in that game. If New South Wales wins and hits over due to their explosive backline, James Tedesco will likely be man of the match. Phil likes taking the under in this one as well.

Game One Preview

In this section, the speakers discuss their predictions for game one of the rugby league match between Queensland and New South Wales.

Predictions for a Tight Game

• The speakers predict that game one will be a tight match.

• They expect scores to be low, with totals of 18-10, 18-16, or 18-14.

• The referees are expected to put the whistle away, which could potentially lead to more points but also brings fatigue into the game.

• Betting agencies know that punters like to take overs, but unders are considered safe in this game.

Best Bets for Game One

In this section, the speakers share their best bets for game one.

Queensland at the Line

• One speaker likes Queensland at the line and believes they will cover it.

• Three out of four times in recent games, Queensland has covered the line.

Turbo Tom to Score a Try

• Another speaker predicts that Tom Trbojevic from New South Wales will score a try and lead his team towards victory.

• He places heavy bets on Trbojevic scoring anytime during the match.

Man of the Match Predictions

• Munster stands out as a potential man of the match candidate due to his impact on previous games.

• James Tedesco is another player who could potentially win man of the match if New South Wales wins.

• The speakers also mention Jersey number bets as an option for chaos during gameplay.

Navy Kit Controversy

In this section, one speaker discusses controversy surrounding New South Wales' decision to wear navy kits instead of sky blue ones.

Iconic Matchup Between Maroon and Sky Blue

• The speaker expresses disappointment with New South Wales' decision to wear navy kits instead of their traditional sky blue ones.

• The speaker believes that the matchup between Queensland and New South Wales is an iconic one, and it should remain Maroon versus Sky Blue.

State of Origin Game 1 Preview

In this section, Phil and Alex discuss their predictions for the upcoming State of Origin game between New South Wales and Queensland.

Predictions

• Phil predicts that New South Wales will win because they should be more desperate in this game.

• Alex thinks that the smart money is with Queensland.

• Phil shares his same game multi bet: Brian Toto anytime try scorer on the left edge for New South Wales, alternate under 38.5, and New South Wales with an alternate handicap of 3.5 start.

• Phil explains why he chose those bets and how they cover his bases.

• Alex rates Phil's multi a nine out of ten.

• They both agree that Queensland winning is still a possibility.

Closing Remarks

In this section, Phil and Alex wrap up their discussion about the State of Origin game and talk about what's coming up next on the show.

Wrap Up

• They mention that they will be back tomorrow with more State of Origin bets.

• They also mention the Europa League final on Thursday morning.

• They encourage viewers to subscribe, like, review, and follow them on all social media platforms.

• They joke about Stats Guy not coming back from Boston after a Twitch streaming competition playing AFL 23 with Leo and Marcus.

• They preview the women's origin on Thursday night where New South Wales only needs one win to clinch the series.

• Alex reminds viewers to gamble responsibly.