VIDEO
HIGHLIGHT
Log InSign up
¿Por qué Bitcoin ha llegado a caer un 50% en cuatro meses?
SummaryTranscriptChat

¿Por qué Bitcoin ha llegado a caer un 50% en cuatro meses?

What is Causing the Recent Bitcoin Price Drop?

Overview of Bitcoin's Price Decline

  • In just four months, Bitcoin's price has depreciated by 50%, with a significant drop of over $10,000 in a single day.
  • Since reaching its all-time high last October, Bitcoin has shown a consistent downward trend.

Factors Contributing to the Downward Trend

  • Previous discussions highlighted specific reasons for Bitcoin's gradual price weakness during this bearish cycle.
  • Increased volatility at historical highs led to losses for market makers, who typically stabilize prices by managing buy and sell orders.

Impact of Market Makers on Price Stability

  • When market makers incur losses and reduce their leverage, it amplifies Bitcoin's price volatility.
  • The absence of market makers transforms the market from stable to fragile, leading to severe price fluctuations.

Broader Economic Influences

  • Amplified volatility alone does not fully explain the drastic price drops; other economic factors are also at play.
  • A recent video discussed how changes in Federal Reserve leadership could impact market expectations and interest rates.

Connection Between Interest Rates and Asset Prices

  • Kevin Warsh’s potential presidency at the Fed may lead to less favorable conditions for negative real interest rates, making investments in precious metals and Bitcoin less attractive.
  • Both Bitcoin and silver experienced significant daily price drops simultaneously due to these shifting economic expectations.

Liquidation Processes Affecting Prices

  • Common causes behind asset declines can be exacerbated by leveraged positions leading to mass liquidations when fundamental catalysts trigger sell-offs.
  • This liquidation process further depresses prices as both leveraged and speculative investors rush to close their positions.

Future Considerations for Investors

  • The medium-to-long-term outlook for assets like Bitcoin will largely depend on Donald Trump's fiscal policy management alongside Warsh’s monetary policy execution.

Accessing Financial Assets through Freedom 24

Overview of Available Financial Instruments

  • Freedom 24 provides access to a wide range of financial assets, including over 40,000 stocks and more than 3,600 ETFs. Notably, some ETFs replicate the prices of silver and Bitcoin.
  • Investors can gain exposure to these assets via accessible ETFs on Freedom 24, which is beneficial for those who believe certain assets have reached their price floor.

Investment Strategies in Uncertain Markets

  • For investors concerned about potential declines in asset prices, Freedom 24 offers ETFs designed to yield returns on liquidity held in euros or dollars. Examples include the Extracters 2 Euro Overnight Rate Swap (2.14% return) and the PINCO US Dollar Short Maturity ETF (4.65% return).
  • These low-volatility ETFs function similarly to money market funds, allowing investors to earn returns without committing to positions in riskier assets during uncertain times.

Impact of Fiscal Policy on Asset Prices

  • The future prices of silver and Bitcoin are expected to be influenced significantly by fiscal policies under Donald Trump. Recent market fluctuations were attributed mainly to expectations regarding interest rates set by Kevin Wars, the new Federal Reserve Chair.
  • If long-term real interest rates remain positive due to U.S. Treasury debt becoming an attractive reserve asset, this could detract from demand for alternative monetary assets like silver and Bitcoin.

Sustainability Concerns Regarding U.S. Debt

  • The sustainability of U.S. Treasury yields remains questionable as national debt continues growing amid significant public deficits; this situation cannot persist indefinitely.
  • Should Trump fail to reduce public deficits, it may lead the Federal Reserve to implement negative real interest rates through inflation—potentially increasing demand for tangible monetary assets such as gold, silver, or Bitcoin.

Broader Implications for Monetary Assets

  • Silver has industrial applications beyond serving as an alternative store of value against U.S. public debt; similarly, Bitcoin's utility extends beyond merely being a hedge against inflationary dilution.
  • While recent price drops in Bitcoin were influenced by fiscal narratives surrounding public debt management and inflation expectations, it's essential not to oversimplify investment theses based solely on these factors.
  • As concerns about unsustainable public deficits resurface under Trump's administration, narratives around negative real interest rates may re-emerge—prompting renewed interest in safe-haven investments like gold and Bitcoin.
  • Conversely, if there is a shift towards more orthodox fiscal policies with positive real interest rates and reduced public deficits, the economic rationale for investing in tangible monetary assets could diminish significantly.
Video description

Bitcoin ha perdido prácticamente la mitad de su valor en apenas cuatro meses. ¿Qué ha sucedido y qué puede ocurrir a partir de ahora? 💶 En este vídeo menciono cuatro ETF que puedes comprar a través de Freedom24: https://freedom24.club/JRRallo 🔹 BTCE (Bitwise Physical Bitcoin ETP) → Replica el precio del Bitcoin con respaldo de tenencias físicas 🔹 SLV (iShares Silver Trust) → ETF/ETC que replica que el precio de la plata mediante su tenencia física. 🔹XEOD.EU (Xtrackers II EUR Overnight Rate Swap UCITS ETF) → Sigue el tipo de interés diario del euro (ESTR), ideal para perfiles conservadores por su liquidez diaria y baja volatilidad. Rentabilidad del 2,2%. 🔹 MINT.EU (PIMCO US Dollar Short Maturity UCITS ETF) → Invierte en bonos a corto plazo denominados en dólares. Alta liquidez, baja volatilidad y rentabilidad superior al 4,6%. Abre una cuenta gratuita en Freedom24 y accede a: ✔ Más de 3.600 ETFs y 1.000.000 de activos financieros ✔ Atención personalizada en español ✔ Hasta 20 acciones de regalo por abrir y recargar tu cuenta antes del 28/2 Freedom24 es un bróker regulado en Europa por CySEC y forma parte de Freedom Holding Corp., empresa cotizada en el Nasdaq (FRHC), con más de 500.000 clientes en Europa. 👉 Activa tu cuenta aquí: https://freedom24.club/JRRallo Este contenido está patrocinado por Freedom24. Ten en cuenta que toda inversión conlleva el riesgo de perder tu capital. Las previsiones o resultados pasados no garantizan rendimientos futuros. Infórmate bien antes de invertir. Es importante buscar asesoramiento financiero antes de tomar cualquier decisión de inversión.